Never tell me the odds...of the 2011 Bobblehead Line-up

At tomorrow's Fanfest down at Petco Park the Padres will unveil their give away promotions for 2011.

I'm not HUGE into the SGAs but I do like to accumulate bobbleheads so as to properly clutter my work environment. I make no apologies for this.

Two weeks ago it was revealed by Tom Garfinkel that Manager of the Year, Buddy Black, would have a bobblehead promotion in 2011 so that's one that we don't have to guess.

But what about the other four bobbleheads for the year? Running under the assumption that the Padres will put out a total of five bobbleheads as they did in 2010 then we've got some odds to make.

Han Solo hated to hear the odds. Well, Han ain't here...




Here's how I see it:

Bud Black: Off the board
Because Garfinkel said so! Dude's killer with the odds. Should have seen him with a March Madness bracket last year. I'm talking about Garfinkel not Black. Garfinkel should probably have a bobblehead.


Mat Latos: Even
This is a virtual lock. Based on his breakout season in 2010 and his controlability it would be ridiculous not to sell him as the face of the franchise. Of course, there's the whole "name on the front of the jersey, not the back" mantra expressed by Moorad and company... still a lock.


Heath Bell: 6/5
Another great "face of the franchise" pick. Could this spell a run on a PENitentiary theme for bobbleheads in 2011?


Orlando Hudson: 3/1
They've been selling the O-Dog hard since he was signed. Here for two years. I like his chances.


Will Venable: 9/2
He'll get his ABs again this year. It's nice to see a player actually play when he has his bobblehead promotion night. That's what you would get with a Venable promotion.


Cameron Maybin: 5/1
This is a good bet. Make some money here and put it on Maybin. Young, toolsy, controllable, newcomer.... that's a trifecta +1 of adjectives.


Nick Hundley: 8/1
How could I have forgotten Nick Hundley? I'm stooopid! Jump on this one. The odds are in your favor... although with few catchers in the pipeline to San Diego I'm guessing he's slated for 2012 after he establishes himself as the #1 receiver. Remember last year? It was mostly Yorvit's staff.


Ryan Ludwick: 15/1
PR machine in place to build fans' confidence in Luddy? He doesn't deserve one but I could see it happening.

Chris Denorfia: 20/1
It won't happen but I'd love to see Deno get one. He plays hard. He's gritty. He's David Eckstein and Eric Owens rolled into one... except he weighs a lot less than those two combined.


Jason Bartlett: 25/1
Similar to O-Dog. He's a newcomer signed for two years but unlikely.


Dick Enberg: 25/1
The Padres are paying him more than most players. Why not?


Mike Adams: 35/1
Part of a PENitentiary theme? That would be awesome. They could be wearing Department of Corrections uniforms and be guarding a cell full of Dodgers. Or Dodger fans.


Luke Gregerson: 35/1
See Mike Adams.


Tim Stauffer: 50/1
Great story. The one 1st round pick who has contributed a fair amount since 2003. Long shot.


Joe Thatcher: 50/1
Thatcher would be an awesome bobblehead with that funky lefty delivery. He is part of the PENitentiary... even though he pitches an average of 2/3 of an inning.


Ernesto Frieri: 75/1
These odds will plummet if a Bull Pen/ Penitentiary theme is explored... which it should be.

Cory Leubke: 1000/1
Will he even make the rotation? Part un.


Wade Leblanc: 1000/1
Will he even make the rotation? Part deux.


Aaron Harang: 4000/1
Local boy. Patrick Henry HS. SDSU. No chance. Big year places him as a dark horse contender in 2012.


Chase Headley: 5000/1
Bobblehead in 2010. Not likely. But he does deserve the opportunity at getting a left handed hitting bobblehead. The right handed version sunk him last year!

Clayton Richard: 5000/1
Bobblehead in 2010. Not likely. The ladies like Clayton though. Odds should be lower.


Kyle Blanks: 10000/1
Bobblehead in 2010. Starting in Tucson. Elbow de Tomasito Juan.


Everth Cabrera:15000/1
Bobblehead in 2010. There's literally no chance of this happening so the odds might as well be 100,000/1. He'll be in Tucson figuring things out in 2011.


I can't believe I just wrote this post...